US-HI North America Updated 2026-08-20

United States (Hawaii) Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 64.6% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in United States (Hawaii).

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
64.6%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
2.8 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Superhot
297.2 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
68.9 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
61%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
14.2 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 22.6% 40.8% 77.8% 98% 99% 100%
175°C 19.8% 36% 67.7% 87% 99% 100%
200°C 14.6% 41% 53.3% 85.7% 99% 100%
225°C 17.2% 31.7% 51.3% 58.9% 83.6% 100%
250°C 10.9% 24.2% 37.8% 52.3% 71.2% 73.7%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
28 311 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
18 289 km² 64.6%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
11 156 km² 39.4%
4 ...and within 100 km town
9 369 km² 34.5%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 5.1 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 3.9 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 210 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 276.6 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.3 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 16.8%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 89.5%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 130.3 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 25.8 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 66.5 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 13.8 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.9 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 3 781 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 47.9%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 61%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 67.6%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 16.6 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 48
Total Urban Population 3.6 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 55.4%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 98% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 99% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of United States (Hawaii) across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

United States (Hawaii) Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
2.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 74th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
297.2 °C Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 79th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
64.6% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 99th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
14.2 ZJ Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 36th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
68.9 °C/km Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 98th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
61% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 61th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
89.5% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 90th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
13.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 70th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
25.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 54th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.3 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 66th percentile
Urban demand colocation
53.1% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 71th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: United States (Hawaii)

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for United States (Hawaii) indicates hotspot_oceanic geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 64.6% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across United States (Hawaii) shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 61% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by hotspot oceanic dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.3 km and crustal thickness of 25.8 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 14.2 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, United States (Hawaii) demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for United States (Hawaii) is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 315 model cells (land area: 28 311 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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