BZ North America Updated 2026-08-20

Belize Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 7.6% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Belize.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km Low Prospect
7.6%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Deep Target
5.1 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Direct Heat
177.3 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Elevated
32.3 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
91%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
43 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 1% 2.5% 3.4% 4.4% 6% 7.8%
175°C 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 3.9% 5.5%
200°C 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6%
225°C 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
250°C

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
22 966 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
1 745 km² 7.6%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
1 588 km² 6.9%
4 ...and within 100 km town
1 492 km² 6.5%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 8 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 6 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 131.2 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 155.5 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 2 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 18.6%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 44%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 131.3 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 29.5 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 67.2 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 27.6 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±1.3 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 3 506 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 73.5%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 91%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 99.5%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 12.5 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 59
Total Urban Population 3.2 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 70.1%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 12.2% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 13.7% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Belize across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Belize Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
5.1 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 41th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
177.3 °C Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 31th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
7.6% Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 13th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
43 ZJ Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 51th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
32.3 °C/km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 46th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
91% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 91th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
44% Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 44th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
27.6 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 39th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
29.5 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 47th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.4 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Urban demand colocation
52.5% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 75th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Belize

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Belize indicates sedimentary_rift geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 7.6% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Belize shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 91% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by sedimentary rift dynamics with median sediment thickness of 2 km and crustal thickness of 29.5 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 43 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Belize demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Belize is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 255 model cells (land area: 22 966 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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