US North America Updated 2026-08-20

United States Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 60.7% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in United States.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
60.7%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
2.3 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Superhot
331.9 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
63.8 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
53.3%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
8470.7 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 24.4% 49.4% 84.6% 98% 99% 100%
175°C 25.7% 47.9% 79% 92.9% 99% 100%
200°C 19.6% 44% 65.1% 98% 99% 100%
225°C 20.1% 33.4% 51.7% 79.6% 99% 100%
250°C 11.5% 26.8% 44.3% 64.5% 90.6% 100%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
9 833 517 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
5 968 945 km² 60.7%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
3 181 448 km² 32.4%
4 ...and within 100 km town
3 016 415 km² 28.5%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 4.2 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 3.2 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 240.2 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 293.6 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.3 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 38.3%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 89.8%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 137 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 30.4 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 68.4 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 14.3 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.8 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 78 799 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 46.5%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 53.3%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 59.7%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 11.4 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 789
Total Urban Population 126.9 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 30.1%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 97.1% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 99% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of United States across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

United States Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
2.3 km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 81th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
331.9 °C Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 93th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
60.7% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 99th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
8470.7 ZJ Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 99th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
63.8 °C/km Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 91th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
53.3% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 53th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
89.8% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 90th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
14.3 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 69th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
30.4 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 45th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±0.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 65th percentile
Urban demand colocation
61.9% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 89th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: United States

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for United States indicates rift_volcanic geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 60.7% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across United States shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 53.3% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by rift volcanic dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.3 km and crustal thickness of 30.4 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 8470.7 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, United States demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for United States is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 109 261 model cells (land area: 9 833 517 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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