BS North America Updated 2026-08-20

Bahamas Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 16.9% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Bahamas.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km Moderate
16.9%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Deep Target
5.5 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Commercial EGS
202 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Elevated
31.1 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
88.2%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
39.1 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 3.1% 7.1% 11% 15.5% 17.8% 23.7%
175°C 2.7% 4.3% 8.4% 10.3% 15.5% 16.9%
200°C 1.4% 3% 5.1% 7.2% 8.9% 11.4%
225°C 0.8% 2% 2.9% 3.4% 5.5% 5.8%
250°C 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
13 943 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
2 356 km² 16.9%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
2 078 km² 14.9%
4 ...and within 100 km town
1 706 km² 12.7%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 8 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 6.1 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 134.9 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 189.2 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 3.6 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 32.8%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 32.5%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 136.8 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 31.3 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 69.5 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 26.9 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±1 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 2 788 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 76.7%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 88.2%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 98.9%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 10.2 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 40
Total Urban Population 4.4 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 35.6%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 27% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 30.4% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Bahamas across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Bahamas Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
5.5 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 36th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
202 °C Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 41th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
16.9% Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 28th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
39.1 ZJ Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 50th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
31.1 °C/km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 44th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
88.2% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 88th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
32.5% Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 32th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
26.9 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 41th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
31.3 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 44th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.5 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 60th percentile
Urban demand colocation
30.5% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 73th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Bahamas

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Bahamas indicates sedimentary_rift geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 16.9% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Bahamas shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 88.2% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by sedimentary rift dynamics with median sediment thickness of 3.6 km and crustal thickness of 31.3 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 39.1 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Bahamas demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Bahamas is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 155 model cells (land area: 13 943 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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