US-GY North America Updated 2026-08-20

United States (The Geysers Complex) Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 45.1% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in United States (The Geysers Complex).

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
45.1%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
2.7 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Superhot
320.5 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
52.5 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
65.5%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
55.5 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 14.7% 36.5% 59.9% 82.5% 99% 100%
175°C 14.3% 28.4% 50.1% 70.5% 93.4% 100%
200°C 13.9% 30.9% 48.9% 62.3% 76.2% 100%
225°C 11.3% 22.9% 42.4% 48.9% 74.7% 88.3%
250°C 10.4% 18.1% 35.8% 44.5% 62.9% 70.2%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
12 000 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
5 412 km² 45.1%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
3 545 km² 29.5%
4 ...and within 100 km town
3 260 km² 25.3%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 4.8 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 3.8 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 228.4 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 288.3 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.7 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 23.5%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 80.4%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 141.1 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 42.3 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 120.1 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 17.7 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.8 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 3 820 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 50.8%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 65.5%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 70.5%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 13.1 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 13
Total Urban Population 2 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 69.2%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 72.2% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 81.2% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of United States (The Geysers Complex) across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

United States (The Geysers Complex) Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
2.7 km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 76th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
320.5 °C Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 88th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
45.1% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 75th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
55.5 ZJ Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 55th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
52.5 °C/km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 75th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
65.5% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 66th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
80.4% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
17.7 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 61th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
42.3 km Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 24th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 72th percentile
Urban demand colocation
39.9% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 85th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: United States (The Geysers Complex)

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for United States (The Geysers Complex) indicates volcanic_arc geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 45.1% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across United States (The Geysers Complex) shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 65.5% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by volcanic arc dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.7 km and crustal thickness of 42.3 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 55.5 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, United States (The Geysers Complex) demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for United States (The Geysers Complex) is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 133 model cells (land area: 12 000 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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