US-CA North America Updated 2026-08-20

United States (California) Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 55.8% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in United States (California).

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
55.8%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
3 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Superhot
307.5 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
54.4 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
54.8%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
363.1 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 25.5% 38.6% 74.6% 98% 99% 100%
175°C 22.3% 36.9% 59.4% 78.7% 99% 100%
200°C 17.7% 30.9% 51.5% 64.8% 96.3% 100%
225°C 12.1% 26.5% 40.9% 60.5% 86.7% 86.9%
250°C 9.9% 21% 37.1% 47.7% 66.1% 71.7%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
423 970 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
236 575 km² 55.8%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
129 643 km² 30.6%
4 ...and within 100 km town
114 743 km² 28.3%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 5.2 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 4 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 211.2 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 276.6 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.5 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 24.3%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 91%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 134.3 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 26.9 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 60.7 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 12.9 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±1.5 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 28 590 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 45.1%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 54.8%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 62.6%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 25.9 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 165
Total Urban Population 20.6 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 58.1%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 89.3% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 99% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of United States (California) across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

United States (California) Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
3 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 71th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
307.5 °C Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 83th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
55.8% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 93th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
363.1 ZJ Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
54.4 °C/km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 78th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
54.8% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 55th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
91% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 91th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
12.9 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 72th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
26.9 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 52th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.6 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 79th percentile
Urban demand colocation
64.3% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 71th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: United States (California)

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for United States (California) indicates rift_volcanic geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 55.8% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across United States (California) shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 54.8% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by rift volcanic dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.5 km and crustal thickness of 26.9 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 363.1 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, United States (California) demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for United States (California) is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 4 711 model cells (land area: 423 970 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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