MZ Africa Updated 2026-08-20

Mozambique Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 39.4% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Mozambique.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
39.4%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
2.6 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Superhot
303 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
73.5 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
78.9%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
595.9 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 14% 31.6% 46.8% 65.3% 94.4% 100%
175°C 12% 24.6% 44% 61.6% 82.9% 100%
200°C 12.1% 20.9% 39.4% 43.7% 62.8% 83.5%
225°C 9.5% 21.1% 28.7% 42.6% 55.5% 60.9%
250°C 6.8% 14.5% 24.5% 33.8% 47.8% 48.7%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
801 590 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
315 826 km² 39.4%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
249 187 km² 31.1%
4 ...and within 100 km town
231 270 km² 28.4%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 5.7 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 3.5 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 202.5 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 280.2 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.4 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 14.6%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 93%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 141.5 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 33.9 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 93.4 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 13.8 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±1.4 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 30 780 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 64.1%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 78.9%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 89.6%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 20.3 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 291
Total Urban Population 34.4 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 26%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 63% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 70.9% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Mozambique across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Mozambique Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
2.6 km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 77th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
303 °C Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 81th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
39.4% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 66th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
595.9 ZJ Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 87th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
73.5 °C/km Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 99th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
78.9% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 79th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
93% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 93th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
13.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 70th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
33.9 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 39th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±0.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 70th percentile
Urban demand colocation
82.6% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Mozambique

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Mozambique indicates rift_volcanic geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 39.4% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Mozambique shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 78.9% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by rift volcanic dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.4 km and crustal thickness of 33.9 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 595.9 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Mozambique demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Mozambique is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 8 907 model cells (land area: 801 590 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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