MU Africa Updated 2026-08-20

Mauritius Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 67.6% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Mauritius.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
67.6%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
2.8 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Superhot
298.7 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
67.2 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
64.6%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
161.5 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 22.3% 54.4% 85.5% 98% 99% 100%
175°C 18.8% 48.9% 66.5% 98% 99% 100%
200°C 21.6% 43.3% 61.4% 89.9% 99% 100%
225°C 18.2% 26.8% 52.7% 72.8% 98.4% 100%
250°C 11.6% 23.4% 42.1% 51.2% 74% 93.3%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
2 040 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
1 379 km² 67.6%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
891 km² 43.7%
4 ...and within 100 km town
804 km² 40.8%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 6 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 3.3 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 232.5 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 279.6 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.1 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 10.7%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 80.1%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 130.3 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 24.8 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 63.1 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 11.7 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±1.3 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 759 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 52.9%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 64.6%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 72.4%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 19.8 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 13
Total Urban Population 1 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 42.1%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 98% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 99% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Mauritius across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Mauritius Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
2.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 74th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
298.7 °C Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 79th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
67.6% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 99th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
161.5 ZJ Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 69th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
67.2 °C/km Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 96th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
64.6% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 65th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
80.1% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
11.7 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 74th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
24.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 55th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.6 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 59th percentile
Urban demand colocation
78.7% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 70th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Mauritius

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Mauritius indicates hotspot_oceanic geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 67.6% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Mauritius shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 64.6% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by hotspot oceanic dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.1 km and crustal thickness of 24.8 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 161.5 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Mauritius demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Mauritius is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 23 model cells (land area: 2 040 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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