GN Africa Updated 2026-08-20

Guinea Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 5.5% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Guinea.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km Low Prospect
5.5%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Deep Target
5.9 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Direct Heat
139.4 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Continental Normal
25.7 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
48.3%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
47.6 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7%
175°C 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1%
200°C
225°C
250°C

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
245 857 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
13 522 km² 5.5%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
6 531 km² 2.7%
4 ...and within 100 km town
6 110 km² 2.5%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 8.5 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 6.4 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 95.6 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 130.4 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.4 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 33%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 75.7%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 131 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 51.5 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 129 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 35.1 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.8 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 7 819 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 41.7%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 48.3%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 51.9%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 10.8 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 82
Total Urban Population 20.7 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 48.9%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 8.8% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 9.9% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Guinea across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Guinea Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
5.9 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 30th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
139.4 °C Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 16th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
5.5% Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 9th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
47.6 ZJ Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 52th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
25.7 °C/km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 37th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
48.3% Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 48th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
75.7% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 76th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
35.1 km Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 23th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
51.5 km Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 7th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.6 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 50th percentile
Urban demand colocation
79.3% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 70th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Guinea

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Guinea indicates craton_shield geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 5.5% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Guinea shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 48.3% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by craton shield dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.4 km and crustal thickness of 51.5 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 47.6 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Guinea demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Guinea is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 2 732 model cells (land area: 245 857 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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