EG Africa Updated 2026-08-20

Egypt Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 12.1% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Egypt.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km Moderate
12.1%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Deep Target
5.8 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Commercial EGS
206.1 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Elevated
34.6 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
87.4%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
318.7 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 1.9% 4.8% 8.2% 9.4% 14.4% 14.9%
175°C 1.7% 3.2% 5.5% 8.5% 11.6% 14%
200°C 1.3% 2.9% 4.1% 5.6% 7.8% 7.8%
225°C 0.7% 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 4.5%
250°C 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
1 002 450 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
121 296 km² 12.1%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
106 013 km² 10.6%
4 ...and within 100 km town
100 868 km² 10%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 7.7 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 6.2 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 137.5 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 195.7 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 2.6 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 27.2%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 39.5%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 141.4 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 30 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 86.9 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 27.6 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±1.3 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 29 170 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 74.4%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 87.4%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 94.7%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 24.3 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 185
Total Urban Population 26.4 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 43.8%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 19.4% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 21.8% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Egypt across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Egypt Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
5.8 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 31th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
206.1 °C Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 42th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
12.1% Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 20th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
318.7 ZJ Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 78th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
34.6 °C/km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 49th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
87.4% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 87th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
39.5% Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 40th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
27.6 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 39th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
30 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 46th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.7 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 75th percentile
Urban demand colocation
31.3% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 88th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Egypt

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Egypt indicates sedimentary_rift geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 12.1% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Egypt shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 87.4% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by sedimentary rift dynamics with median sediment thickness of 2.6 km and crustal thickness of 30 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 318.7 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Egypt demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Egypt is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 11 138 model cells (land area: 1 002 450 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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