CF Africa Updated 2026-08-20

Central African Republic Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 4.5% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Central African Republic.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km Low Prospect
4.5%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Deep Target
6.4 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Direct Heat
159.8 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Continental Normal
26.8 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area Moderate Distance
61%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
36.6 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 3.8%
175°C 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2%
200°C 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6%
225°C
250°C

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
622 984 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
28 034 km² 4.5%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
17 101 km² 2.7%
4 ...and within 100 km town
14 801 km² 2.4%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 9.4 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 7 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 125.5 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 142.4 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.1 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 23.8%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 72.5%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 140 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 46.3 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 106.5 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 31.4 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.9 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 35 212 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 49%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 61%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 69.3%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 30.7 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 205
Total Urban Population 27.4 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 34.8%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 7.2% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 8.1% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Central African Republic across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Central African Republic Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
6.4 km Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 23th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
159.8 °C Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 24th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
4.5% Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 8th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
36.6 ZJ Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 49th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
26.8 °C/km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 38th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
61% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 61th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
72.5% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 72th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
31.4 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 31th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
46.3 km Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 17th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.7 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 61th percentile
Urban demand colocation
83.2% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 87th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Central African Republic

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Central African Republic indicates craton_shield geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 4.5% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Central African Republic shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 61% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by craton shield dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.1 km and crustal thickness of 46.3 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 36.6 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Central African Republic demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Central African Republic is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 6 922 model cells (land area: 622 984 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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