MM Asia Pacific Updated 2026-08-20

Myanmar Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 12.7% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Myanmar.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km Moderate
12.7%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Deep Target
5.1 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Commercial EGS
206 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Elevated
41.2 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
80.8%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
206.4 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 2.5% 4.6% 7.8% 11.3% 13.6% 18%
175°C 1.6% 4.1% 6.6% 7.7% 11.8% 14.6%
200°C 1.1% 2.3% 4.1% 5.7% 7.2% 9.1%
225°C 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 3.4% 4.6% 4.7%
250°C 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
676 578 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
85 925 km² 12.7%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
69 427 km² 10.3%
4 ...and within 100 km town
62 416 km² 8.8%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 8 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 6.2 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 168.2 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 187.8 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 1.9 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 20.9%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 69.2%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 133.8 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 33.3 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 93.2 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 22.7 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.8 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 22 744 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 69.6%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 80.8%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 88.5%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 10 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 248
Total Urban Population 36.7 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 60%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 20.3% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 22.9% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Myanmar across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Myanmar Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
5.1 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 41th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
206 °C Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 42th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
12.7% Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 21th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
206.4 ZJ Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 72th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
41.2 °C/km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 59th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
80.8% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 81th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
69.2% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 69th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
22.7 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 50th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
33.3 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 40th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.3 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 60th percentile
Urban demand colocation
46% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 63th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Myanmar

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Myanmar indicates extensional_basin geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 12.7% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Myanmar shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 80.8% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by extensional basin dynamics with median sediment thickness of 1.9 km and crustal thickness of 33.3 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 206.4 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Myanmar demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Myanmar is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 7 518 model cells (land area: 676 578 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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