CN-YN Asia Pacific Updated 2026-08-20

China (Yunnan Province) Geothermal Screening

High-resolution 3D simulation identifies 85.7% prospective area reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in China (Yunnan Province).

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
85.7%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
2.8 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Commercial EGS
268 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Elevated
35.7 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
100%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
467.9 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 13.4% 75.7% 96.4% 98.9% 99.7% 100%
175°C 3% 26.8% 81.1% 96.8% 98.8% 99.6%
200°C 0.7% 5.2% 40.5% 84.2% 96.9% 98.7%
225°C 1.8% 6% 41.2% 82.8% 96.5%
250°C 1.8% 5.2% 33.2% 76.8%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
394 100 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
337 602 km² 85.7%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
337 602 km² 85.7%
4 ...and within 100 km town
213 861 km² 54.3%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 5.2 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 4.5 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 196 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 219 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 160.9 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 16.9%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 15.6%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 135 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 38.8 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 67.5 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 16.2 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.9 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 17 578 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 99.6%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 100%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 100%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 3.7 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 157
Total Urban Population 15.7 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 45%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 98% of territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 99% of territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of China (Yunnan Province) across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

China (Yunnan Province) Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
2.8 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 74th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
268 °C Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 67th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
85.7% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 99th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
467.9 ZJ Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 83th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
35.7 °C/km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 51th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
100% Top 10%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 100th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
15.6% Lower 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 16th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
16.2 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 64th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
38.8 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 30th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±0.9 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 65th percentile
Urban demand colocation
58.0% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 75th percentile

Live Interactive 3D Model Explorer: China (Yunnan Province)

This area is enabled in the live interactive sandbox demonstrating real 3D subsurface thermal inversion, grid layers, and EGS capacity evaluation.

Interactive simulation active for China (Yunnan Province). Raw 3D tensor arrays and GIS vectors are available for enterprise export.
Live Demo AOI

Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: China (Yunnan Province)

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Empirical 3D thermal modeling for China (Yunnan Province) indicates 85.7% of assessed territory reaches the 185°C baseline threshold at 5.5 km depth, with peak modeled temperatures at 5 km reaching 268°C.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Model convergence across 1137 inversion grid cells exhibits consistent parameter stability, calibrated against regional borehole temperature logs and crustal thickness constraints.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

Spatial proximity analysis indicates 100% of assessed land area is within 50 km of high-voltage transmission lines, providing favorable interconnectivity for commercial geothermal development.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface structure shows a median sediment thickness of 160.9 km and crustal Moho depth of 38.8 km, defining the transition into competent crystalline basement formations.

Stored Heat Volume

Total stored thermal energy in place across 3–7 km depth (above 80°C baseline) is estimated at 467.9 ZJ (10²¹ Joules).

Peer Comparison

Relative to global benchmark jurisdictions, China (Yunnan Province) ranks in the 99th percentile for prospective resource area and 51th percentile for geothermal gradient.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Adjusting target isotherm criteria to 150°C or extending drilling depth to 7.5 km expands accessible resource capacity substantially.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for China (Yunnan Province) is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 (3D Inversion Mesh) utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 1 137 model cells (land area: 394 100 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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