CL-CP South America Updated 2026-08-20

Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera) Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 35.2% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera).

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
35.2%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
3 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Commercial EGS
279 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
56.2 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
82.2%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
12.6 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 13.8% 26.2% 35.1% 55.5% 67.4% 73.8%
175°C 11.7% 21.5% 29.5% 48.2% 62% 69.3%
200°C 9.4% 16.5% 29.4% 35% 51.7% 59.5%
225°C 6% 12.7% 20.3% 32.1% 36.3% 52.7%
250°C 5.8% 10.2% 15% 22.7% 27.3% 37.7%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
18 000 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
6 336 km² 35.2%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
5 208 km² 28.9%
4 ...and within 100 km town
4 585 km² 27.3%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 5.8 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 3.6 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 224 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 258.8 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.3 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 40.8%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 79.6%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 131.2 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 35.6 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 88.8 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 14.5 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.8 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 3 699 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 71%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 82.2%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 88.2%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 9.1 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 34
Total Urban Population 2.8 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 62%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 56.3% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 63.4% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera) across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera) Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
3 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 71th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
279 °C Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 72th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
35.2% Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 59th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
12.6 ZJ Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 34th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
56.2 °C/km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
82.2% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 82th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
79.6% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
14.5 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 68th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
35.6 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 36th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±0.7 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 61th percentile
Urban demand colocation
59.5% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 73th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera)

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera) indicates volcanic_arc geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 35.2% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera) shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 82.2% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by volcanic arc dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.3 km and crustal thickness of 35.6 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 12.6 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera) demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Chile (Cerro Pabellon High Cordillera) is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 200 model cells (land area: 18 000 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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