ES-CN Europe Updated 2026-08-20

Spain (Canary Islands) Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 46.3% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Spain (Canary Islands).

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km High Potential
46.3%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Very Shallow
2.1 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Superhot
316.6 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Volcanic / Rift
62.1 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
83.1%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
155.8 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 21.8% 34.3% 59.8% 77.9% 99% 100%
175°C 14.3% 31.3% 54.3% 76.8% 92.2% 100%
200°C 13.7% 28.7% 44.1% 67.3% 90.4% 100%
225°C 9.4% 22.1% 35.5% 49% 64.3% 81.7%
250°C 7.9% 22.7% 32.3% 45.2% 62% 62.7%

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
7 493 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
3 469 km² 46.3%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
2 883 km² 38.5%
4 ...and within 100 km town
2 482 km² 33.6%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 4.5 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 3 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 240.3 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 285.1 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 0.3 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 20.9%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 86.8%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 141.4 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 29.8 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 81.7 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 13.2 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±1.5 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 3 241 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 64.8%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 83.1%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 92%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 23.6 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 10
Total Urban Population 2.8 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 69.6%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 74.1% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 83.3% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Spain (Canary Islands) across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Spain (Canary Islands) Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
2.1 km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 84th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
316.6 °C Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 87th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
46.3% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 77th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
155.8 ZJ Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 69th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
62.1 °C/km Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 89th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
83.1% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 83th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
86.8% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 87th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
13.2 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 71th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
29.8 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 46th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.4 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 58th percentile
Urban demand colocation
70.6% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 78th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Spain (Canary Islands)

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Spain (Canary Islands) indicates hotspot_oceanic geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 46.3% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Spain (Canary Islands) shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 83.1% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by hotspot oceanic dynamics with median sediment thickness of 0.3 km and crustal thickness of 29.8 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 155.8 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Spain (Canary Islands) demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Spain (Canary Islands) is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 83 model cells (land area: 7 493 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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