BA Europe Updated 2026-08-20

Bosnia and Herzegovina Geothermal Screening

Geothermal screening assessment identifies 16.5% prospective land reaching 185°C by 5.5 km depth in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Key Geothermal Metrics

Land Reaching 185°C by 5.5 km Moderate
16.5%

Primary baseline screening criterion

Shallowest Depth to 200°C Shallow
3.9 km

Minimum drill depth for high enthalpy

Peak Temperature at 5 km Depth Direct Heat
199.6 °C

Maximum modeled temperature

Typical Geothermal Gradient Elevated
38.4 °C/km

Average to 5 km depth (15°C surface)

Grid Connectable Prospective Area High Accessibility
80.1%

Hot territory within 50 km transmission

Stored Heat In-Place (3–7 km) 1 ZJ = 10²¹ Joules
22.6 ZJ

Thermal volume in place (>80°C baseline)

Depth vs. Temperature Matrix (% Land Area)

Proportion of national territory exceeding target isotherm at specified depth

0.1° Inversion Grid
Isotherm 3.0 km 4.0 km 5.0 km 6.0 km 7.0 km 8.0 km
150°C 3.6% 7% 10.3% 12.1% 18.5% 23.2%
175°C 1.8% 4.1% 8% 11.3% 13.8% 15.7%
200°C 1.2% 2.8% 4.9% 6.4% 8% 9.8%
225°C 0.7% 1.6% 2.6% 3% 4.8% 5.5%
250°C

4-Stage Geothermal Resource & Infrastructure Funnel

Progressive screening from gross national territory down to grid-connected & populated prospective zones

1 Whole country
51 197 km² 100%
2 Reaches 185°C by 5.5 km
8 448 km² 16.5%
3 ...and within 50 km transmission
6 767 km² 13.2%
4 ...and within 100 km town
5 793 km² 12.1%

Geological Setting & Subsurface Parameters

Lithology, basement thickness, stress and thermal boundary constraints

Median Depth to 200°C Isotherm 5.8 km
Best 10th Percentile Depth to 200°C 4.7 km
Median Temperature at 5 km Depth 132.1 °C
Best 10th Percentile Temp at 5 km 170.7 °C
Median Sediment Thickness 1 km
Sediment / Hard-Rock Well Share 31.5%
Territory Under 1 km Sediment Cover 44.3%
Lithostatic Pressure at 5 km Depth 131.7 MPa
Moho Crustal Discontinuity Depth 37.5 km
Thermal Lithosphere Thickness 91.5 km
Curie Temperature Isotherm Depth 20.6 km
Model Temperature Spread Uncertainty (200°C) ±0.8 km

Transmission Grid & Demand Colocation

Infrastructure interconnectivity and urban power demand proximity

High-Voltage Transmission Network Length 10 068 km
Land Area Within 25 km of Grid 61.2%
Land Area Within 50 km of Grid 80.1%
Land Area Within 100 km of Grid 87%
Average Proximity to Nearest Substation / Line 34.1 km
Urban Centers (>10,000 Population) 81
Total Urban Population 10.3 M
Prospective Resource Colocated Near Demand (>1M Pop) 32%

Target Sensitivity & Deep EGS Upside

Sensitivity of prospective resource area to adjusted depth and temperature thresholds

150°C Baseline at 5.5 km 26.4% of national territory reaches 150°C at 5.5 km depth
185°C Baseline at 7.5 km 29.7% of national territory reaches 185°C at 7.5 km depth

Global Peer Benchmarking (vs. 278 Assessed Jurisdictions)

Relative ranking distribution of Bosnia and Herzegovina across 11 standardized geothermal indicators

Bosnia and Herzegovina Rank Global Peer Spread
Shallowest 200°C depth
3.9 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 59th percentile
Peak temp at 5 km
199.6 °C Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 40th percentile
Prospective land area (>185°C at 5.5 km)
16.5% Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 28th percentile
Stored heat in-place (3-7 km)
22.6 ZJ Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 42th percentile
Typical geothermal gradient
38.4 °C/km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 55th percentile
Grid proximity (<50 km)
80.1% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Thin sediment coverage (<1 km)
44.3% Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 44th percentile
Curie isotherm depth
20.6 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 55th percentile
Moho crustal thickness
37.5 km Lower 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 32th percentile
Model temperature uncertainty spread
±1.5 km Middle 50%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 80th percentile
Urban demand colocation
35.6% Top 25%
P0 (Lowest) P50 (Median) P100 (Highest) • 75th percentile
Asset-Level 3D Simulation Available

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Analytical Geothermal Assessment & Discussion: Bosnia and Herzegovina

Subsurface thermal interpretation, model uncertainty, infrastructure colocation, and resource quality analysis

Resource Overview

Geothermal assessment for Bosnia and Herzegovina indicates extensional_basin geological controls governing subsurface heat transport, yielding 16.5% of land area reaching the baseline target of 185°C at 5.5 km depth.

Uncertainty & Model Variance

Thermal inversion across Bosnia and Herzegovina shows consistent model convergence with constrained standard deviations across deep crustal layers.

Grid & Infrastructure Colocation

National electrical transmission coverage positions approximately 80.1% of prospective geothermal ground within 50 km of existing high-voltage corridors.

Geological & Basement Setting

Subsurface lithology is characterized by extensional basin dynamics with median sediment thickness of 1 km and crustal thickness of 37.5 km.

Stored Heat Volume

Accessible thermal energy in place between 3 km and 7 km depth above 80°C totals 22.6 Zettajoules (ZJ).

Peer Comparison

Benchmarked against 237 global assessment jurisdictions, Bosnia and Herzegovina demonstrates competitive positioning across heat flow, infrastructure, and basement competence indicators.

Target Sensitivity Analysis

Screening at 150°C baseline at 5.5 km increases prospective territory, demonstrating substantial deep EGS resource headroom.

Screening Methodology, Parameters & Limitations

This screening assessment for Bosnia and Herzegovina is generated from Geothermal Radar Data Pack 2026.1 utilizing global 0.1° hex-grid thermal inversion across 569 model cells (land area: 51 197 km²). Baseline prospective criterion is defined as reaching 185°C at or above 5.5 km depth with surface temperature normalized to 15°C.

  • Screening estimates represent regional-scale heat in place and do not replace localized 3D seismic or exploratory drilling.
  • Model uncertainties expand in regions with sparse deep boreholes and complex thrust fault kinematics.
  • Grid proximity indicators reflect line-of-sight distance to high-voltage transmission and do not account for local substation thermal capacity.
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